TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes47c92,390$43,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,423.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No53c90,000$47,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Yes50c13,500$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7501040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c12,205$7,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.5698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No51c9,526$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.631283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c8,419$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c8,371$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.9343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c5,400$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7541968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes47c5,297$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.734141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No52c5,292$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.81258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No53c4,752$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c4,521$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c4,389$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.954124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No77c4,350$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes48c4,077$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes50c3,971$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No49c2,484$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes13c2,447$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes10c2,098$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7514060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes55c1,847$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.34553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes27c1,822$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.751540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,750$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.52568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x027d…9606backed Yes13c1,683$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Yes51c1,465$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes10c1,363$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No69c1,301$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.281060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes47c1,149$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c1,093$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No51c1,070$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.231947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No50c1,010$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5059336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes14c1,004$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.994341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No67c835.48$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes43c686$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.985244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes44c611.27$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No49c532.48$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes21c521$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4111063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No55c500$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2275853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No64c491.08$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No50c483.89$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.12065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes49c483.87$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Yes39c436.18$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c433.83$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c423.77$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.814452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked No51c412.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes51c394.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.274854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No57c372.44$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.731952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes49c371.94$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.72864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No57c362.64$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes45c339.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.713158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No53c339.21$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.295246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No54c334.41$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.376352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c296.87$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No56c292$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.75846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes32c286.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.841070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No56c281.8$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.165754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c271.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c264.6$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3111057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c264.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No52c253.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a2c…e2d0backed No55c242.85$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No53c242.48$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.454355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No54c235.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.252646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No52c234.03$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.151668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes7c222.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c211.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3912532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c206$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No54c185.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.413756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No55c182.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.036549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No55c182.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.032653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c181.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No57c181.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.452365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes17c175$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes27c155.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed No52c153.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Yes50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.