Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346fc79f6958e475491fce5a0ff4c93ed4f13af459756e9cd05083e8b101761c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,317,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,392,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,317,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 51c | 295,396$150,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,652.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 51c | 293,438$149,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,575.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 165,066$81,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,851.7 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 117,373$61,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,976.58 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…d39abacked Over | 51c | 106,318$54,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,221.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 44c | 69,897$30,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,754.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 58,501$28,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,835.66 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 49c | 48,403$23,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,717.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 49c | 40,392$19,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,599.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 51c | 29,605$15,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,506.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 24,986$12,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,753.04 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 24,890$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,989.63 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 50c | 24,256$12,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,030.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over | 49c | 21,324$10,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 51c | 18,030$9,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,195.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 14,635$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.08 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 49c | 13,894$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 49c | 12,121$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 11,955$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.64 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 50c | 11,773$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.93 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 11,698$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.04 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 11,548$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.48 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 51c | 9,877$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Under | 50c | 9,631$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 9,067$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.45 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 8,730$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.36 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 8,576$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 49c | 8,068$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 7,186$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 6,852$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.2 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 49c | 6,130$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.93 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 49c | 6,026$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.31 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 50c | 5,832$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 49c | 5,272$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 5,119$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.14 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 26c | 5,068$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.13 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 50c | 4,987$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.51 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 4,946$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.41 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 4,946$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.41 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 4,946$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.41 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 51c | 4,758$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 49c | 4,700$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 3,913$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.03 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 51c | 3,881$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 3,775$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.49 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 3,731$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.17 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 2,979$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.18 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 49c | 2,968$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,960$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.42 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 2,769$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.03 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 52c | 2,352$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.94 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 2,341$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 50c | 2,316$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 49c | 2,291$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.53 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Over | 51c | 2,250$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 2,200$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Under | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 1,949$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.79 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Under | 49c | 1,913$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 79c | 1,834$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,834$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.41 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 50c | 1,709$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6d92backed Over | 52c | 1,629$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 1,593$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.18 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 52c | 1,549$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 38c | 1,548$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 1,508$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.62 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 49c | 1,424$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked Over | 2c | 1,299$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 1,263$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 6c | 1,163$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.87 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.