Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6ddbe09196f2b8ec6760bfae4c52452b68dcc2cede25271d26390e20dd0bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Arsenal FC, Sporting CP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 8,007$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.98 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 74c | 4,109$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.3 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 3,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Arsenal FC | 27c | 2,855$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sporting CP | 74c | 2,328$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sporting CP | 72c | 2,195$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.46 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.08 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Arsenal FC | 34c | 1,616$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.04 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sporting CP | 73c | 1,403$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.41 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sporting CP | 73c | 1,384$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sporting CP | 73c | 1,381$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sporting CP | 73c | 1,380$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.44 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Sporting CP | 73c | 1,348$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 1,246$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting CP | 71c | 1,087$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sporting CP | 73c | 1,012$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Arsenal FC | 27c | 1,009$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Sporting CP | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 999.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Sporting CP | 71c | 938.32$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…c520backed Sporting CP | 71c | 918.61$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Arsenal FC | 31c | 914.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 740.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 719.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Sporting CP | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sporting CP | 73c | 675.18$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sporting CP | 73c | 675.12$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Sporting CP | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Arsenal FC | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 638.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Sporting CP | 72c | 627.53$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Sporting CP | 73c | 539.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Sporting CP | 73c | 538.02$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 524.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…c9e0backed Arsenal FC | 19c | 503.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sporting CP | 66c | 494.23$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 428.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Arsenal FC | 14c | 406.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Sporting CP | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 389.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC | 15c | 379.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Sporting CP | 73c | 338.2$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Sporting CP | 68c | 328.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Arsenal FC | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sporting CP | 71c | 307.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Sporting CP | 64c | 306.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Sporting CP | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sporting CP | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Sporting CP | 74c | 299.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sporting CP | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Arsenal FC | 25c | 283.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Sporting CP | 70c | 283.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Sporting CP | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Sporting CP | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC | 17c | 268.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 262.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sporting CP | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Arsenal FC | 31c | 242.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 242.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 236.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Arsenal FC | 22c | 222.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Arsenal FC | 29c | 220.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Sporting CP | 73c | 215.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 205.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 205.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Sporting CP | 72c | 199.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Arsenal FC | 28c | 196.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…2cb8backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…7c64backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 164.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Arsenal FC | 31c | 163.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 155.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…d7b6backed Sporting CP | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 150.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked Sporting CP | 73c | 144.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 143.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Arsenal FC | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sporting CP | 73c | 137.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sporting CP | 72c | 136.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Sporting CP | 72c | 135.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 135.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Sporting CP | 73c | 135.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Arsenal FC | 27c | 135.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Sporting CP | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Sporting CP | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…71c0backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 131.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…405cbacked Arsenal FC | 16c | 130.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sporting CP | 69c | 127.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Sporting CP | 73c | 123.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arsenal FC | 18c | 118.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Arsenal FC | 29c | 111.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…de8ebacked Arsenal FC | 30c | 108.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Arsenal FC | 23c | 104.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Arsenal FC | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.