TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbb5…f531

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT7753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.15
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+87%+$117.99
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Samson (+1.5)backed Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$60.47
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.22
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$172.29
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$166.83
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$101.84
Savannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$36.54
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.31
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71%+$92.82
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$15.1
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.22
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)backed Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$83.28
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$101.8
Sinner vs. Bonzi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$56.91
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$50.6
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Savannah: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.97
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.