Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dcb3898c47849f20462086c0364ceb03541f341bac21a1c07d038c314e96200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koprivaof Rublev, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rublev | 54c | 9,080$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.6 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kopriva | 46c | 5,968$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.84 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kopriva | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.86 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Kopriva | 53c | 636.18$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kopriva | 47c | 595.22$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Rublev | 53c | 440.55$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kopriva | 51c | 399.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kopriva | 49c | 300.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kopriva | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Rublev | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Rublev | 53c | 233.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kopriva | 48c | 211.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Rublev | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Rublev | 54c | 180.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Kopriva | 52c | 144.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Rublev | 49c | 135.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Kopriva | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Rublev | 52c | 95.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 362 | 61.6%223 W · 139 L | +40.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kopriva | 47c | 77.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rublev | 53c | 75.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kopriva | 47c | 68.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rublev | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Rublev | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Kopriva | 48c | 54.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Kopriva | 48c | 54.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kopriva | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Rublev | 51c | 43.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kopriva | 48c | 38.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Kopriva | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 121 | 69.4%84 W · 37 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Rublev | 48c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rublev | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Rublev | 51c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)this page
- Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit KoprivaVit Kopriva won
- Rublev vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs KoprivaKopriva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.