Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ec8f32ff2a049697d4ccd11881a276d345ecc09d512c306903c6a6e545480f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Swiatek, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Swiatek | 44c | 9,068$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.1 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Andreeva | 56c | 8,250$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.95 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andreeva | 59c | 1,722$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.85 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Swiatek | 39c | 613.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 56c | 487.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Swiatek | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Swiatek | 33c | 363.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Andreeva | 57c | 277.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Andreeva | 48c | 225.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Swiatek | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Swiatek | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Swiatek | 44c | 188.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Swiatek | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Andreeva | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Swiatek | 46c | 147.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Swiatek | 53c | 130.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Swiatek | 56c | 123.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Andreeva | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Andreeva | 60c | 81.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Swiatek | 24c | 71.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…aaaebacked Andreeva | 45c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 60c | 63.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Andreeva | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Andreeva | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Swiatek | 40c | 48.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andreeva | 54c | 47.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Andreeva | 51c | 41.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Andreeva | 56c | 32.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Swiatek | 45c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Andreeva | 55c | 31.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Andreeva | 57c | 30.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Swiatek | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Andreeva | 55c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Andreeva | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Andreeva | 57c | 26.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Andreeva | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Andreeva | 57c | 23.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Andreeva | 56c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Andreeva | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Swiatek | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)this page
- Iga Swiatek vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs AndreevaSwiatek won
- Swiatek vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Swiatek vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.