Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b65882867229e459596cbd0c5702cfec79b1ce6fda304fa0dfd3fb3faef3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Swiatek, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andreeva | 30c | 1,372$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Andreeva | 13c | 905.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Andreeva | 65c | 777.02$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked Swiatek | 80c | 565.05$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Swiatek | 58c | 508.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Swiatek | 34c | 384.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Andreeva | 46c | 331.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Swiatek | 69c | 284.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Swiatek | 53c | 270.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Andreeva | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f30dbacked Swiatek | 45c | 232.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 49c | 167.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Andreeva | 63c | 112.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Swiatek | 62c | 107.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andreeva | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Swiatek | 33c | 96.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andreeva | 37c | 87.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 40c | 86.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Andreeva | 73c | 80.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Andreeva | 73c | 66.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Swiatek | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Andreeva | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Swiatek | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Andreeva | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 54c | 42.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Swiatek | 61c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Andreeva | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Andreeva | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Swiatek | 47c | 21.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs Andreevathis page
- Iga Swiatek vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Andreeva won
- Swiatek vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Swiatek vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.