TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe80b…7e1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.17
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$93.24
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$367.87
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.2
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$486.88
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.43
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.34
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.84
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.7
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40%+$89.64
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.48
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$234.43
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+151%+$614.53
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,349.79
Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs Andreevabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$115.25
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.88
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$83.85
Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Musettibacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$336.89
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$212.99
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.6
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.78
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$195.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$230.09
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$96.56
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$669.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.29
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$212.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$209.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.