WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1ab73856d8020eada50f375dc41a3314889afb6e5c077bb2aa33cafe88ddcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 50c | 11,556$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.86 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 7,695$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.55 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,716$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.97 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 1,608$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 1,408$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 1,364$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.85 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 48c | 1,318$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.43 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 1,182$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.54 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 51c | 981.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 931.26$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.32 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 46c | 782.11$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 48c | 728.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.04 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 532.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Under | 61c | 475.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 468.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked Over | 50c | 388.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 51c | 385.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 51c | 364.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 13c | 331.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 18c | 319.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Under | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 258.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 250.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…bdbabacked Under | 52c | 231.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 47c | 189.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 161$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 52c | 158.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 55c | 153$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 112.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 21c | 82.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…4bb6backed Under | 71c | 45.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 49c | 44.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 80c | 35.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.