WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22974862ab46defcf490cb8eed0813b70165cf54ee86b2caf72416f14cb9100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Dallas Wings, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed PortlandFire | 52c | 17,983$9,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.76 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 16,646$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.37 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 2,952$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 2,750$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 2,505$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.53 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,900$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.35 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 37c | 1,814$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.77 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,372$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 44c | 1,305$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.41 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.18 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 1,079$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.41 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 710.61$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed PortlandFire | 38c | 637.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.04 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 625.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 609.27$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Dallas Wings | 61c | 590.36$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed PortlandFire | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 563.55$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PortlandFire | 42c | 558.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.63 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 478.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed PortlandFire | 49c | 465.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed PortlandFire | 31c | 359.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 317$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 53c | 294$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PortlandFire | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed PortlandFire | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed PortlandFire | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 183.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed PortlandFire | 58c | 180$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 179$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings | 31c | 155.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed PortlandFire | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 137.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 118.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dallas Wings | 66c | 100.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed PortlandFire | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 81.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 34c | 78.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed PortlandFire | 58c | 73.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed PortlandFire | 47c | 63.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 62.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…f515backed PortlandFire | 74c | 61.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed PortlandFire | 54c | 54.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked PortlandFire | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed PortlandFire | 59c | 39.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 39.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PortlandFire | 54c | 35.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 31.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Dallas Wings | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 26.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed PortlandFire | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed PortlandFire | 44c | 23.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed PortlandFire | 58c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed PortlandFire | 53c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 57c | 21.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.