WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3bb44156cf1c20f29725f993dd79421ef03ea0bde0c3d9aab0b10f17662bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Dallas Wings, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,893$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.12 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed PortlandFire | 47c | 1,338$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.37 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 57c | 1,070$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.3 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Dallas Wings | 59c | 1,070$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked PortlandFire | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PortlandFire | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.4 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 929.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed PortlandFire | 49c | 766$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.58 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 761.98$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.26 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 728.11$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 702.36$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 665.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 660.39$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.29 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 647.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 49c | 541.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 512$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PortlandFire | 46c | 499.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 430.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed PortlandFire | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked PortlandFire | 44c | 388$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 351.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 279.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PortlandFire | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 58c | 221.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 206.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed PortlandFire | 49c | 180$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85a…f2a2backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 177.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 175.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 168.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 24c | 152.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed PortlandFire | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed PortlandFire | 43c | 136.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Dallas Wings | 57c | 136.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked PortlandFire | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PortlandFire | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 90.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…711abacked PortlandFire | 61c | 82.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…c310backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 74.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 60.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked PortlandFire | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed PortlandFire | 48c | 40.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire | 51c | 33.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed PortlandFire | 49c | 31.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PortlandFire | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed PortlandFire | 52c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cb…23dfbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 19.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked PortlandFire | 66c | 15.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.