WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a943a83c66c6b8625de938511bc29e713389a6c9efab18359b9be25f8ff72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Dallas Wings, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 59c | 7,890$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.78 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 6,545$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,590$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.95 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,594$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.34 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,558$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 1,458$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.53 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,280$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.88 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed PortlandFire | 55c | 1,212$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,208$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.33 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,059$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.47 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,056$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.24 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Dallas Wings | 39c | 1,027$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.03 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed PortlandFire | 49c | 618.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed PortlandFire | 49c | 571.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PortlandFire | 50c | 473.42$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 429$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed PortlandFire | 48c | 419.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed PortlandFire | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed PortlandFire | 48c | 404.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 400.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed PortlandFire | 50c | 393.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 359.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 358.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed PortlandFire | 49c | 343.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 297.61$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed PortlandFire | 48c | 285.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 264$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked PortlandFire | 54c | 254.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed PortlandFire | 61c | 254$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PortlandFire | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 220.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed PortlandFire | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dallas Wings | 60c | 147.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 137.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 130.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed PortlandFire | 61c | 122.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 93.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 85.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed PortlandFire | 59c | 76.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed PortlandFire | 49c | 69.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 40c | 60.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 60.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed PortlandFire | 61c | 48.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 44.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 43.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…64bebacked PortlandFire | 63c | 37.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed PortlandFire | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed PortlandFire | 47c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed PortlandFire | 48c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed PortlandFire | 50c | 22.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed PortlandFire | 63c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8312…d15bbacked PortlandFire | 63c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…93b1backed PortlandFire | 63c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…4188backed PortlandFire | 54c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.