WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8560630c5e71ce46005f389c5b9d26e8ebca2ca8820256fdd79589f60f375e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Over | 51c | 2,872$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 1,886$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.63 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 53c | 882.05$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 43c | 814.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 61c | 789.7$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 763.25$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.89 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 570.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 562$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 511.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 469.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 56c | 358.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 61c | 286$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 39c | 277.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 44c | 200.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 58c | 189.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 146.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 102.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 60c | 95.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…17c6backed Over | 61c | 91.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 83.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 81.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 80.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 52c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Under | 56c | 71.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 58c | 68.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…3b56backed Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.