WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb802d9fbed0ca5fb3ef65c90a611a4cc0259dfe1cb471a97170997262df786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 49c | 1,579$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.07 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,535$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 1,496$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.07 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 56c | 1,200$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 36c | 1,025$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.39 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 991.52$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Under | 55c | 950.85$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 65c | 806.5$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 35c | 792.58$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 782.3$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 41c | 538.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 63c | 444.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 49c | 443.65$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 44c | 419.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.19 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 59c | 338.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 65c | 315$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 65c | 310.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 283$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 60c | 257.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Over | 59c | 254.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…0673backed Over | 66c | 238.61$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 207.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 176.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 38c | 164.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 64c | 123.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 44c | 108$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 106.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 93.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 41c | 80.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 64c | 67.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 40c | 65.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 63.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 51c | 58.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 58c | 51.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 46.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 51c | 43.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 40.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 60c | 27.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…6e6abacked Under | 38c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 47c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Under | 58c | 22.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 53c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 58c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 60c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFireDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.