MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117bb7927fddce895e354fbfb3ea8db3290ea008bb9f6cf3694b4a8556d11239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 120,871$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.95 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 17,009$8,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.08 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 15,339$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 13,662$7,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 13,249$8,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.62 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 12,900$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,965.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 11,054$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 9,076$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 8,112$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.29 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 6,738$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 6,677$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.17 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 6,082$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 5,237$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.71 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 5,123$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.94 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 4,920$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 4,653$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.15 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,379$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,352$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.28 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,046$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.04 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 3,840$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 3,589$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.88 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 3,552$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.04 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 3,256$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.68 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 2,796$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.93 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,597$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.23 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,404$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,204$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 2,158$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,039$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,834$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,813$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.33 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 1,792$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,746$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.84 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,724$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 1,682$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,633$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.59 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,492$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.17 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,422$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 1,364$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,314$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 1,225$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 936.4$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.3 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 787$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 776.68$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.74 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 732.9$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 714.29$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 667.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 667$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.85 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 664.21$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 652.8$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 646.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 644.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 543$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 534.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 512.82$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 469.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 448.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…6e34backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 434.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 430$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 413.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 400.76$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 395.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 382.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 319.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 301.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…4bf5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 299.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 298$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 292.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 285.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 252.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 250$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 243.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 237.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 230.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 224.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 221.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 216.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.