MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd60ba77c03e7a0ec46f951af77c98f4a0314dc6bc683ed8506b696a86b81ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 51c | 198,453$100,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,574.62 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 49c | 100,826$49,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,404.77 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 20,630$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 18,245$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 58c | 14,999$8,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,696.9 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 9,140$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 7,977$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.7 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 7,470$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.46 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 4,439$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,084$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 3,657$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.14 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,374$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 42c | 1,173$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.05 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 1,131$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,108$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 29c | 1,034$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 858.87$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.67 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 7c | 839$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 799.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 42c | 703.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.09 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 563.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 508.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 508.11$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 502.73$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 42c | 466$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 422.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 357.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 340.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Under | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 324.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 51c | 296.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 233$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 215.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 203.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 48c | 202.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 49c | 102.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 89.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 62c | 80.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 80.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 77.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 75.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 42c | 71.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 52.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 69c | 50.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 48c | 47.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 42c | 44.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…1b5bbacked Under | 52c | 40.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 49c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 33c | 39.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 36.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 36c | 35.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 52c | 33.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 48c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 50c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 42c | 26.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…dc5abacked Over | 44c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…918fbacked Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…eb35backed Under | 52c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 51c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 49c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…39acbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…cb8cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.