TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea06…39ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT11356.6%64 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$38.72
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$28.11
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69%+$17.24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$15.56
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$12.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$26.08
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$14.25
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$6.33
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.16
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.89
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$20.58
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed RJ Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$21.61
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$2.56
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$32.65
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131%+$18.35
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$12.62
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.14
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$9.19
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$18.78
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.94
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.32
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$27.24
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.62
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.94
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$4.82
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.34
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$12.45
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$15.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.