NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb36d1a4267613825fb9e86720c04237d1d85c389408868f7bb74e22b4847bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 212,012$108,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,826.75 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 49c | 118,147$57,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,620.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.83 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 50c | 75,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,399.95 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 66,762$32,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,048.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 49c | 55,343$27,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,118.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 51,935$25,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,933.58 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 28,000$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,080 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 51c | 25,629$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 24,537$12,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,071.06 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 49c | 19,824$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 50c | 19,508$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,753.98 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 17,133$8,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,807.95 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Over | 44c | 14,641$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Under | 49c | 12,194$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Under | 51c | 8,500$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 51c | 7,500$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 36c | 7,247$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 7,220$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 5,544$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 4,900$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 4,837$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.29 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 4,634$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.06 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Under | 51c | 4,333$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.17 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 4,205$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.25 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 3,828$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.46 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 3,800$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.82 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 49c | 3,551$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 57c | 3,470$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Over | 36c | 3,021$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed Over | 49c | 2,248$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 2,025$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.33 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 51c | 1,999$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.02 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 51c | 1,800$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 1,703$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.61 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,676$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.77 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.91 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 1,659$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.75 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Under | 49c | 1,651$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 1,605$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.56 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Over | 50c | 1,582$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Under | 49c | 1,504$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 52c | 1,421$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.74 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 1,412$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.92 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 30c | 1,400$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.59 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Under | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Over | 52c | 1,364$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 51c | 1,277$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Under | 44c | 1,106$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 48c | 1,092$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.67 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 1,063$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 61c | 1,035$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.51 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…ee95backed Over | 51c | 1,011$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Over | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 49c | 986.38$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 50c | 935.93$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.97 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 934.48$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.9 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 843.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.85 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Over | 50c | 828.52$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 53c | 746.72$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 50c | 729.13$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 52c | 715.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 42c | 693.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Canadiens (-2.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.