TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Under62c86,414$53,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,757.81,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c36,420$13,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,916.6628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over37c31,000$11,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4701822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c24,201$9,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,276.541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over38c6,623$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over35c3,128$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1054951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over38c3,000$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c2,998$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Over13c2,451$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.242450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c2,205$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.822,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e07…7364backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under70c1,341$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.962850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…3badbacked Under77c1,297$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c1,240$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.999258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over18c1,152$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+195.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Under59c1,074$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c1,042$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0238147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Under61c1,012$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over38c986.77$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9711952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over37c947.6$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.612,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c892.46$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Over39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under61c600.2$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0820855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under63c402.24$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over37c376.08$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Under63c308.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.961580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…0c70backed Over39c282.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over38c267$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.46875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Over39c246.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.218846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over46c244.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.161,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under61c223.32$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0614549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under77c188.13$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1311933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over18c182$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.765240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Over40c163.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c152.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5421355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Over37c149.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under61c139.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c139.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.149948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca76…2df0backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under61c126.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c113.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.361,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over23c113.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over21c108.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under60c105.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb722…1098backed Over39c102.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c4…1d1fbacked Over37c101.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14cf…2ea8backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over40c96.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over32c91.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over32c85.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under62c84.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.051758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under60c81.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Over39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Over46c72.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd687…a024backed Over40c65.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.181566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over39c64.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under69c62.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under62c59.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.617442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…29b9backed Over39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over40c56.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8819844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Over37c54.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over36c52.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…509fbacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over38c52.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under65c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.253754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0f…dd8dbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…0214backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c48.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5214347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under70c47.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3833363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Over22c46.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Under61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.629949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…27cdbacked Under63c39.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Over39c38.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over40c32.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under60c29.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb11…73f2backed Under66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.