TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc91e…07dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.68
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$16.52
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Danka Kovinicbacked Danka Kovinic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Jiujiang: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rigele Tebacked Rigele Te · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Ostrava: Nerman Fatic vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Shymkent 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Dali Blanchbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,044.51
Shymkent 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sean Cueninbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15
Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$118.79
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.35
Oeiras 4: Guiomar Maristany vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$860.72
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Abidjan: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Oscar Weightmanbacked Oscar Weightman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Rome: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.72
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$164.03
Madrid Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.37
Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$849.73
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.41
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.17
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,068.56
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.06
Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$460.51
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fentybacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$8.77
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.16
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mackenzie Hughes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$119
Will Marcus Helligkilde finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Kristoffer Ventura finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.32
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$107.93
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$125.98
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.95
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Will Taylor Pendrith finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$183.11
Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Taylor Moore finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$53.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.67
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.46
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.77
Will Beauty And A Beat be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$38
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,354.3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$842.13
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.69
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$131
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$142.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed Club León FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)backed Club Puebla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7,428.09
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,500
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,694.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,884.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.