Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a3b00a52532c070d2ec4a1c30eeff26f77f077aad3d6788a88b67594c59c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Collignonof Adrian Mannarino, Raphael Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288c…3641backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 22,126$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 20,615$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.22 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 18,566$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.62 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 13,245$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 11,777$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 8,982$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 8,653$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.94 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…0939backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 8,278$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 6,892$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.42 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…0f9ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 6,016$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 6,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 4,944$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 4,844$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.41 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 4,713$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.18 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 4,124$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.76 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 3,921$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.49 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 3,293$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 3,237$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.95 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 3,107$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…afc3backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 2,490$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Adrian Mannarino | 4c | 2,438$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Raphael Collignon | 72c | 2,295$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.46 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…c6a1backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 2,000$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 1,878$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…63a0backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 1,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 1,817$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 1,557$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Adrian Mannarino | 3c | 1,442$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 1,393$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 1,167$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 1,117$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,086$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 1,045$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 871.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 844.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 828.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 816.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 805.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 733.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 664.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 650$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 612.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 606.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…e9debacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 571.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 553.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 517.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Raphael Collignon | 74c | 507.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 488.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 476.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 448.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 417$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Raphael Collignon | 80c | 399.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 396.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 385.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 383.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 383.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 383$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a4c4backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 381.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Raphael Collignon | 76c | 362.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 359$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 343.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 327.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 320.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 305.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 304$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Raphael Collignon | 77c | 283.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 279.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 253.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 245.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 244$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 240.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…cb4fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 229.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 228.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 218.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Raphael Collignon | 71c | 212.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 207.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…4fe3backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 207.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 196.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 194.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…1d31backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 193.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 183.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonthis page
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.