TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf89d…6f39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.66
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.6
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.73
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.38
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cervia: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76.61
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.66
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$62.46
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$160.72
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$84.52
Istanbul: Kerem Yilmaz vs Anton Matusevichbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$38.67
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$77.17
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$69.06
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$224.19
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabherbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$98.94
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Kutaisi: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Semen Pankinbacked Cyril Vandermeersch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.58
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhausbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$33.9
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Danielbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$37.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$322.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$70.18
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.