Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x969fa20756dec351e00c288c01625c783fd5e6ec531066ad16cc2bb95ace48b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 46c | 4,258$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.97 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,158$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 42c | 3,046$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 2,333$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.05 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 1,226$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 787.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 773$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 551.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 76c | 523.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 53c | 435.8$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 329.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 47c | 299.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 281.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…9577backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 48c | 204.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Under | 53c | 187.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 54c | 184.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 181.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 177.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 167.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Under | 77c | 165.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 72c | 155.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 130.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Under | 60c | 114.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 97.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 28c | 69.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 48c | 68.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 26c | 57.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 47c | 52.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 72c | 49.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 54c | 45.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 75c | 31.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 59c | 27.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 52c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 71c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 73c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 73c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.