Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93651cec7ae8559d33c0b2f463442494f6b2c9d9170d452da3498c74526e8111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 59c | 8,158$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 5,060$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 3,901$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.66 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 34c | 734.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 726.91$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 71c | 422.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 77c | 389.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 58c | 326.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 77c | 319.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Over | 71c | 298.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 41c | 249.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 226.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 220.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Over | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 14c | 146.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 144.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 60c | 135.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 134.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 118.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 42c | 117.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 40c | 112.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 96.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 81.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 53c | 51.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 46.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 43.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…9c37backed Under | 28c | 38.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 43c | 27.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 78c | 26.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 17.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.