Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa45c5b2b28c08c3c7d7554bac4168d6434fa2688a21c7b327be87de7c16b96b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,042$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 49c | 3,999$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.41 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 30c | 3,881$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.66 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 23c | 2,152$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 50c | 1,194$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 55c | 887.55$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Yes | 54c | 409.37$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 39c | 366.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 347.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 64c | 337.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 197.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 114.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 69c | 106.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 38c | 102.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Yes | 55c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 75.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 54.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 53.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 28c | 45.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 55c | 32.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 64c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 63c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.