TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd347…a708

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.55
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.31
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$334.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.09
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.84
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.81
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+144.3%+$79.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$66.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$141
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$57.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.34
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$343
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$39.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$41.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.