Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ea938834f74f7e5315fe499464971809a6144fb5a0ec1d7a223af186ea2e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,801 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 3,751$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 37c | 1,737$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.54 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 63c | 1,082$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 906.81$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 80c | 785.02$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 25c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 588.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 569.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 515.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 435.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Over | 62c | 426.09$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 377.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 25c | 349.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 61c | 324$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 298.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 294.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 7c | 282.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 12c | 217.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 72c | 170.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 60c | 161.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 141.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 27c | 140.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 97.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 89.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 69c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 38c | 84.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 36c | 75.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 57c | 65.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 61c | 61.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…0ec9backed Under | 34c | 44.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 39c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 56c | 29.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 62c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 69c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 79c | 17.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.