Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b774ed6f0e3f2c9b818bf5c379818b2a5c5155160a6c03ca72790bf256c4b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked No | 49c | 1,373$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 1,311$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.59 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 46c | 785.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.42 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 711.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…9a1bbacked No | 40c | 335$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 328.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 57c | 318.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2efcbacked No | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…576ebacked Yes | 60c | 276$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…df18backed No | 40c | 218$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0a…91f0backed Yes | 60c | 214$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…eba4backed Yes | 60c | 186$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…d412backed Yes | 60c | 176$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 150.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 42c | 119.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 62c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 51c | 98.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 59c | 93.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 50c | 84.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 29c | 66.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 60.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 58c | 57.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 45c | 53.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 39c | 41.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…c2f5backed No | 48c | 36.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Yes | 59c | 33.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 61c | 30.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.