Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23b1b88c3b8c81c6cc6e78e4e4189063c7e3122dd8c57d96a17ab276f8342a3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 5,602$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 65c | 2,807$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 73c | 1,621$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 33c | 752.43$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.73 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 19c | 535.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 31c | 502.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 41c | 487.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 43c | 429.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 401.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 319.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 307.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Under | 59c | 265.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 56c | 244.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 43c | 233.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 178.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 60c | 166.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 58c | 135.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 112.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 103.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…eb08backed Over | 57c | 100.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 89.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Over | 41c | 89.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Over | 41c | 89.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Over | 41c | 86.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 66.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Under | 58c | 37.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 40c | 37.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 54c | 33.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 53c | 33.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…b1fabacked Over | 44c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 57c | 25.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 59c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 59c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5this page
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.