TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid49c52,683$25,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,784.2128748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Nigma Galaxy51c46,542$23,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,805.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy27c22,918$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,700.1954556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid65c21,852$14,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,275.3240051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy76c14,172$10,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.4371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid16c7,684$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.891,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy42c6,614$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.2567043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Liquid75c6,465$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.757152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy53c5,230$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.542,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy34c5,102$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.4156955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid1c4,703$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.034734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy63c4,538$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.072,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c1…eeeabacked Team Liquid13c4,479$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid46c4,129$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.5213456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Nigma Galaxy32c4,008$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.1115848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid68c3,958$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.0679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy23c3,877$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.5764744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid32c3,701$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9879341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy53c3,568$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.0447046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy25c3,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.9281029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy38c3,283$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.6325248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid67c3,204$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.8580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy65c3,044$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.3543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…05d6backed Nigma Galaxy34c2,881$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.593053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy23c2,800$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy35c2,741$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.1747650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid37c2,703$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3624131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nigma Galaxy75c2,629$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.114157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy52c2,397$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.0985851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Nigma Galaxy64c2,357$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.7632854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy34c2,329$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.9122643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Team Liquid76c2,179$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Liquid68c2,164$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid42c2,045$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.2671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9442…d97bbacked Nigma Galaxy9c2,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+171.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Team Liquid75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy33c1,959$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.5149455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy43c1,941$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.351,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Liquid76c1,850$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.988739.1%34 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Nigma Galaxy64c1,776$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.297263.9%46 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy34c1,708$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.331,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid45c1,651$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.236654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy60c1,600$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.7738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d1…94b0backed Team Liquid74c1,570$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.492860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid5c1,467$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.176132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy31c1,411$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.6333549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked Nigma Galaxy36c1,323$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+100.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Liquid76c1,305$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.5111955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid35c1,297$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid32c1,277$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.81,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy44c1,153$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.5955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Nigma Galaxy36c1,133$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.417444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid76c1,101$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.7462650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Liquid52c1,079$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3715358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid31c1,040$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1989938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bf9…14b4backed Team Liquid75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe661…b679backed Team Liquid17c999.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Nigma Galaxy63c998.6$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.656352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid76c985.29$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.8286659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nigma Galaxy33c979.49$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2627153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde9…51d7backed Nigma Galaxy30c966.29$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.972326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nigma Galaxy38c900.79$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy37c890.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4529240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nigma Galaxy70c862.87$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9318649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid30c859.75$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1466947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy77c849.95$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2636759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid50c842.92$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Nigma Galaxy24c840$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid40c825.87$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8520642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy32c825.44$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.341351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid35c817.48$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4323546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Nigma Galaxy56c782.64$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3211353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid65c768.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8450769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Nigma Galaxy25c764$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5735554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Team Liquid27c762.07$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Liquid16c745.21$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2346240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy80c740.84$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3177458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team Liquid76c739.2$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.798749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Team Liquid49c727.93$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.358746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Nigma Galaxy33c713.15$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8113145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Liquid35c691.25$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.313827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Nigma Galaxy31c675.3$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9616725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy28c637.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy58c635.14$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5830647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Liquid75c620.38$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.2923555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy70c620.04$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0128549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Nigma Galaxy25c599.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.522572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Liquid45c596.81$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.276245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy37c579.52$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nigma Galaxy53c552.4$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.916641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy26c549.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.332148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid26c530.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.441,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Nigma Galaxy22c520$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4049045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Liquid38c511.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.528648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid65c510.12$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy35c505.31$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7825246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Liquid76c499.82$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8615151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.