TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid76c17,306$13,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,087.9941056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy32c8,735$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,953.0254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy22c5,722$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.2143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy19c4,033$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.3167043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid70c3,489$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.5720156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Liquid67c3,215$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.1312560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Liquid77c3,046$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.8247650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy38c2,781$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.2538855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid73c2,775$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy24c2,766$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.031,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy44c2,390$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.3151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid79c2,236$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.8779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy23c1,981$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.925935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid77c1,974$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.1996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy27c1,823$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy25c1,660$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.9988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid68c1,590$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.111,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Nigma Galaxy31c1,554$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.546141%25 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy31c1,530$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.3125246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy32c1,277$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.3239042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy24c1,259$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.1452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy30c1,133$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.897448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy16c1,104$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.4553844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy28c1,041$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9329240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy30c900$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Liquid68c829.36$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9715147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Liquid68c822.14$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0611955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid50c817.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40937945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Team Liquid69c815.13$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+70.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59228549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy39c796.45$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8360646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed Team Liquid70c785.75$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9721062.4%131 W · 79 L+0.8wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy17c711.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.658746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy33c700$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46980544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid67c686.14$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.7113854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid6c644.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.236132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked Nigma Galaxy31c611.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.94887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+100.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid77c608.66$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1536759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Nigma Galaxy27c605.96$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3526550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nigma Galaxy31c555$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9516842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid56c512.15$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.751,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Nigma Galaxy25c511.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3133644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4514…4c39backed Team Liquid61c492.51$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.63825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Nigma Galaxy48c459.82$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4221146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy17c441.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6145052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Nigma Galaxy32c436.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.682572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy25c418.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.042,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy27c414.9$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6451140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy28c391.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy27c376.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb527…be8fbacked Team Liquid66c348.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy31c345.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Team Liquid61c319.41$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.346266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy29c299.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9856542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy17c232.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9373743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Nigma Galaxy40c227.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.714346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Nigma Galaxy36c225$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.759045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid69c221.77$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.021,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy40c219.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7932652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Team Liquid9c219.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Nigma Galaxy38c212.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7711858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.164149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nigma Galaxy28c204.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8641037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid70c200$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15858152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy11c194.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6779343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy36c188$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8422552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy31c179.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9369033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy30c172.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.724137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Liquid53c172$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.964535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Nigma Galaxy26c160.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Liquid50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7567555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Team Liquid66c148.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.957851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy31c146.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.857654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Nigma Galaxy31c143.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.838132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Liquid74c143$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8223555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy33c142.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.211,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Liquid76c138.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7620151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid80c131$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid48c130$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8824131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c0…d718backed Nigma Galaxy30c128.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.242138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…33c6backed Nigma Galaxy26c128.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.196848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Nigma Galaxy53c118.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3813068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Nigma Galaxy26c117.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.295246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Nigma Galaxy17c116.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.593630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Nigma Galaxy29c112.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.082828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0435032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Nigma Galaxy30c106.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.664647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid68c102.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Liquid49c101.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7720954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Nigma Galaxy57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Nigma Galaxy57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4316250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Team Liquid70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Nigma Galaxy57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Nigma Galaxy35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6540745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Nigma Galaxy30c97.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.094351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy24c93.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.031,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.