Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72511680fb67b927d4fe1ec911a51367b4c4ff3e19a8b8d47cd04ed2492efae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Nigma Galaxy, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 100,359$68,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,348.63 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…47cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 73,072$23,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,382.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 15,688$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.91 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 14,971$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.01 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 69c | 13,897$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.19 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 8,175$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.9 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,665$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.01 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 3,139$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.85 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 3,112$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.05 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,982$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.33 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 2,719$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.14 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,533$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.81 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 2,511$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.07 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,083$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.39 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,070$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.85 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,062$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.18 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,966$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.78 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,952$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.96 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,837$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.09 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,834$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.79 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,696$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,590$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,497$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,456$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.11 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,421$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.11 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,400$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.22 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,341$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,149$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.26 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,076$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.92 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,042$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,039$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,034$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.59 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,024$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 78c | 991.4$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 878.62$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 849.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 840.68$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 818$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 812.48$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 58c | 799.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 750$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 68c | 724.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 681.78$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.07 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 681$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Team Liquid | 47c | 675.69$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…cd33backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 655.92$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 639.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 600.09$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Team Liquid | 56c | 585.22$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 575.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 555$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 535.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 513.67$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.35 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 496.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 493.36$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 69c | 490.66$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 474.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Team Liquid | 50c | 474.36$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.75 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 466.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 459.73$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 457.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 447.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Team Liquid | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 406.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 65c | 396.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 392.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Team Liquid | 37c | 380.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.71 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 365.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 363.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 337.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 337.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 314.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 313.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 301.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 297.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 290.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 284.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 280.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 276.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Liquid | 64c | 266.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 243.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…1c32backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 240$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 53c | 227.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 221.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 220.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Liquid | 69c | 214.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 44c | 212.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 210.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 209.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Team Liquid | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.