TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over59c6,763$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c5,437$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under43c5,238$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over58c3,811$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.763647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under44c3,449$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under45c2,968$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.432650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over54c1,437$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.7746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,134$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.0613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3692045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.194753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over57c874.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c809.81$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…a708backed Under42c740$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over56c714.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over66c588$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.371844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over43c499.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over76c494.32$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.35560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under45c493.49$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.581040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over56c485.71$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c466.78$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c458.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3615140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over56c441.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c411.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under32c385.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c336.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4311940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c298.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c292$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.645558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under49c257.07$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7613540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…fd44backed Over68c230.82$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over61c220.37$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.922020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa80f…4fa0backed Over53c218$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over51c217.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.812751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under47c212.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over55c201.22$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c179.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over56c178.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120d…5a76backed Under44c163.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c157.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.434937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.353357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.356352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.355154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.355754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.353946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over55c156.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.354355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over74c145$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c139.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c139.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over78c127.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Under45c119.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.071752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over62c102.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.073946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over70c101$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.725846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Over58c97.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under43c96.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over58c95.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over47c93.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.839446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c82.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8710633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over55c79.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.982842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over56c78.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.282416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over57c74.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c68.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under46c67.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.952564%16 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Over75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over52c57.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over56c53.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Under44c53.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over55c50.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over48c46.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.933023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe89…49e1backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.