South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96eea474977aa501752f9a8b750884b2aca96fc9aeff68eb1a04bc0dcd56a00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 46c | 22,034$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 0c | 14,133$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 11,459$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 10,868$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.96 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Over | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 4,255$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…521abacked Over | 73c | 2,189$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…eda0backed Over | 74c | 1,837$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 1,290$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 7c | 1,103$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 34c | 1,044$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.91 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 76c | 830.6$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 800.66$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 56c | 596$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 40c | 473.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 441.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 79c | 435.74$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 388.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 49c | 334.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 27c | 307.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 284.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…26efbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 260.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 59c | 254.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 231.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 226.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 40c | 198.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 144.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 65c | 132.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 45c | 126.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 123.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 107.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 57c | 97.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 43c | 97.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 52c | 97.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 80.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 74.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 59c | 73.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 65.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 39c | 63.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 48c | 50.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…2712backed Over | 75c | 42.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…882fbacked Over | 75c | 41.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Under | 43c | 40.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 40.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 38.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 48c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 56c | 36.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 45c | 35.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 36c | 34.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 57c | 30.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Over | 76c | 28.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…0ad3backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 51c | 20.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.