TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59c3…882f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.31
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$27.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+148.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.88
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$36.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.01
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$41.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$33.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$65.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.