TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes50c245,000$122,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,5001060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes50c93,000$46,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,228.139649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c56,072$28,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,0362181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c31,895$15,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,844.4977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c19,879$9,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,908.331,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No50c19,341$9,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,670.523858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c18,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c16,374$8,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,183.7297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c16,351$8,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,042.0998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c14,428$7,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,089.571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No26c14,418$3,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.11,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No50c13,010$6,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5052254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c10,922$5,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.261,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No50c10,851$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.742166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c9,946$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.5219560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No50c9,211$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.43452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes47c8,497$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,496.794852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No50c7,425$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.8518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c6,008$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.4168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes50c5,975$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes50c5,900$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.433531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c5,229$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.67549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No50c4,969$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.538563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x936b…7c51backed No50c4,606$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c4,478$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.1999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c4,104$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.216732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c3,868$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94512254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.0626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No51c3,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No50c3,066$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.842835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c2,986$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.0753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No51c2,530$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2901145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c2,524$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.663,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes47c2,218$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes79c2,086$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes75c1,744$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c1,440$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72020043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c1,321$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No50c1,275$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.544959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No46c1,155$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No50c1,121$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.612254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed No50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…914bbacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No50c996.08$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.041850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No50c905.53$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2913942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No33c895.4$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.346936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No12c864.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4116657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No50c852.86$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.435664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No50c833.73$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No50c816.48$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No50c589.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.649452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2410043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No50c579.84$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c545.7$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6110644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes80c533.62$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No50c530.26$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.137037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No38c527.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No50c502.24$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.122755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No21c499.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8725851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c492.21$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.691,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c474$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c449.74$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2519073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No50c437.43$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No50c416.03$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.596454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c370.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c361$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.441,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes50c345.7$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.924450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No50c333.34$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.67650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c320.38$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1817858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c308$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No50c302.83$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No16c299.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c297$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.