Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4575e2db348232c04f9ca4b7d1f83bc90165c7b7e5969100e7b844b32eb090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 3,686$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.06 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 500$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 481.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 7c | 277.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 261.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 254.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 239.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 223.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 204.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Yes | 13c | 114.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 15c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 20c | 60.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.