Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ac3f1d84b8c5e049b5b8f744893d47cc1d8cdebaa54c888716c82ee3129892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 28c | 4,242$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 2,692$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 2,526$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.83 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,181$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,072$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,012$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 891.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 2c | 401.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 301.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 279.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 275.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 4c | 262.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 260.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 5c | 260.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 239.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 72c | 209.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 182.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 73c | 165.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 31c | 151.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 138.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…526cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 29c | 103.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 90.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 82.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 73.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…f970backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed No | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…4339backed Yes | 28c | 52.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 48.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 42.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…8057backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 37.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…5aeebacked No | 73c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 71c | 27.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…523abacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…6954backed No | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 24.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…5312backed No | 73c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…817fbacked No | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…6e2bbacked No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.