TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4d5b…acdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$11.78
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$17.06
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.52
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$4.8
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.51
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.46
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.16
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.56
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.19
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.19
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.09
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.29
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$6.82
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$6.29
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.88
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.96
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.74
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.33
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.92
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.37
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.55
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.27
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$5.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.21
Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$8.7
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$5.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$7.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.