Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bae535f54813fd9733205adca77f5ce073df50dab24f45027ebba414970d865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 35c | 9,091$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.2 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 48c | 7,096$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.81 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 6,245$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.68 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 5,818$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.08 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 5,084$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 55c | 4,825$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.18 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 4,776$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 4,367$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.6 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 3,278$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.7 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 43c | 2,573$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 57c | 2,260$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.79 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 48c | 1,992$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.18 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Over | 46c | 1,701$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.73 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 1,459$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,363$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.58 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 1,080$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 52c | 1,003$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 995.58$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.32 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 924.46$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.23 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 823.66$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Under | 55c | 814.18$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.93 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 44c | 799.98$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.76 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 730.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 710$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 697.53$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.78 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 686.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 53c | 669.43$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.63 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 603.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 53c | 548$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 507.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.24 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…57dcbacked Under | 63c | 473.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 469.19$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 37c | 392.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 44c | 317.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 311.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 48c | 210.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 68c | 198.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 196.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 46c | 192.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Under | 54c | 186.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 177.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 177.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over | 10c | 138.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 54c | 133.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 124.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Under | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 37c | 101.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…3d69backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 49c | 99.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 45c | 87.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 53c | 82.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 53c | 74.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 45c | 62.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 60.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Over | 42c | 59.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 49.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Under | 57c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…4db1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 42c | 42.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 51c | 40.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…271dbacked Under | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Over | 28c | 36.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 33.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Over | 46c | 32.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.