Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d44d78512430a2a1037ad03521283039b6f16f0fd42cea3fe63e9f2f8e1aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Honduras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Honduras | 33c | 9,270$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Argentina | 75c | 9,049$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.96 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Honduras | 4c | 2,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Honduras | 22c | 2,991$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.25 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Argentina | 72c | 2,761$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.71 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Argentina | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.76 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Honduras | 27c | 859.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Honduras | 28c | 757.8$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Honduras | 37c | 606.85$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.53 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Honduras | 34c | 573.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Argentina | 63c | 554$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Honduras | 36c | 515.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Honduras | 28c | 489.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina | 70c | 353$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Honduras | 41c | 349.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Argentina | 69c | 343.56$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Argentina | 64c | 336.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Argentina | 66c | 313.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Honduras | 25c | 269.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Argentina | 69c | 266.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…2871backed Argentina | 57c | 255.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Honduras | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Honduras | 23c | 202.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Honduras | 28c | 172.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Honduras | 31c | 168.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Argentina | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Argentina | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Honduras | 37c | 135.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Argentina | 73c | 120.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Argentina | 70c | 112.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Honduras | 28c | 111.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Argentina | 67c | 104.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Argentina | 72c | 103.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Argentina | 56c | 97.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Honduras | 44c | 92.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Honduras | 32c | 92.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Argentina | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Argentina | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Argentina | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Honduras | 31c | 83.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Honduras | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Argentina | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Argentina | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Argentina | 71c | 69.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 221 | 44.8%99 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Argentina | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Argentina | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Honduras | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Honduras | 33c | 53.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Argentina | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Honduras | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Honduras | 33c | 50.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Argentina | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Argentina | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Honduras | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Honduras | 29c | 48.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Argentina | 67c | 45.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Honduras | 29c | 44.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Argentina | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Argentina | 75c | 41.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Argentina | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Honduras | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Honduras | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Argentina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Argentina | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Argentina | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Argentina | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Argentina | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Argentina | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Argentina | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Argentina | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Argentina | 68c | 28.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Argentina | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed Argentina | 70c | 27.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Argentina | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Argentina | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed Argentina | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Argentina | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Argentina | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.