TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94b7…2c8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$4.79
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$23.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$34.59
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$15.98
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+44.1%+$13.21
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$7.56
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$22.02
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$12.26
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$6.25
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$10.71
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.97
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$5.32
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$8.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Northern Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$5.71
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$11.84
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will England win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.86
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$29.21
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$7.63
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.3
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$21.81
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.03
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$9.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+150.9%+$26.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.93
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$10.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$50.7
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$49.9
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.81
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+36%+$4.44
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+47%+$24.38
Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$6.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-56.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.48
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.89
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$31.77
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.4%+$27.89
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.3%+$25.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$40.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$37.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$16.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.