MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d595d4666c4d564d7792068039ca1e69c83d022d545d727f80051c26814f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $755,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 38c | 554,299$212,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212,399.52 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 62c | 151,007$93,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,339.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yankees | 62c | 64,966$40,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,687.13 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 62c | 64,000$39,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,320 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 61c | 38,000$23,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 62c | 37,448$23,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,279.72 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 61c | 31,442$19,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,133.5 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 38c | 30,000$11,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.2 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yankees | 61c | 27,559$16,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.32 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 63c | 27,452$17,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,252.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Yankees | 62c | 20,345$12,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.08 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Orioles | 38c | 17,150$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516.88 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 37c | 14,569$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 38c | 11,819$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 63c | 11,585$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.47 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yankees | 62c | 11,129$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.03 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 38c | 9,507$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.67 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 61c | 9,500$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yankees | 63c | 8,700$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.86 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Orioles | 38c | 8,130$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.29 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 62c | 5,502$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Orioles | 38c | 5,003$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 62c | 4,969$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yankees | 64c | 3,891$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Yankees | 62c | 3,401$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 45c | 3,281$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 64c | 3,204$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.11 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 64c | 3,014$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.94 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 57c | 2,797$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.74 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 62c | 2,620$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 38c | 2,100$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.9 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yankees | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yankees | 61c | 1,935$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 62c | 1,761$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,627$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.6 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Orioles | 41c | 1,211$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 65c | 1,105$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Orioles | 41c | 1,055$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 35c | 1,046$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Orioles | 37c | 1,032$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Orioles | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 36c | 965.78$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yankees | 62c | 892$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.88 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Yankees | 61c | 887.98$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 62c | 878$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 32c | 849.16$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 35c | 808.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.33 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 39c | 773.92$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yankees | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yankees | 69c | 727.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yankees | 54c | 669.06$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Orioles | 36c | 664$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Yankees | 62c | 646.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Yankees | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 33c | 623.81$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yankees | 61c | 599.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 63c | 573.94$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yankees | 62c | 550$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…f39cbacked Orioles | 38c | 502.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yankees | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yankees | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 32c | 463.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yankees | 63c | 441.27$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…d588backed Orioles | 9c | 440.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 70c | 433.85$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 70c | 429.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 70c | 405$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Yankees | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Yankees | 63c | 376.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…b012backed Orioles | 38c | 375.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yankees | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Orioles | 33c | 342.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Yankees | 62c | 319.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Orioles | 34c | 293.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yankees | 69c | 291.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 40c | 290.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yankees | 69c | 274.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yankees | 62c | 250$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Orioles | 28c | 244.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 68c | 239.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Orioles | 39c | 225.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.