Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4af965be62d55d12c6b29ff14b62015bf754438db1f2c5ff99c8d9efbb2204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 6c | 1,935$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 1,002$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.12 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 45c | 444.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 44c | 387.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 52c | 312$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 46c | 299.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 234.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…7dc8backed Yes | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 45c | 160$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 149.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…716abacked No | 56c | 130.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked No | 55c | 97.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5620…0d88backed No | 56c | 90.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…6110backed Yes | 45c | 89.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 41c | 77.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes | 47c | 66.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…affdbacked No | 55c | 65.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 47c | 63.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…5a07backed No | 55c | 53.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…2fd5backed Yes | 47c | 53.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 51.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked Yes | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…f09abacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 47c | 27.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Yes | 43c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…f197backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29?No won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.