Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2faecc19f59fa4f4a9a5ead83541903efd0c27f332e2628255a5d62295b4b4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 28c | 15,550$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 12,106$8,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,855$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 25c | 1,168$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 62c | 553.82$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 463.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 75c | 408$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 228$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 68c | 100.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 28c | 78.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…bf2cbacked Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 69c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 44.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…3642backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.