TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f2a…f5dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$22.9
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$60.42
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$52.55
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+64.4%+$27.05
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$94.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$33.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+82%+$104.95
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$18.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$17.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$36.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs Copenhagen Wolves (BO3)backed Partizan Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.