College Football · resolved market
Spread: Tulane (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a966fc5b3325217847ee66f280bfbe37c793e4901845339df86126bf2dafff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof Tulane, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tulane | 59c | 31,864$18,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,661.21 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.98 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 42c | 9,682$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed UTSA Roadrunners | 42c | 7,674$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.84 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ac8fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 44c | 5,526$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 3,908$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.05 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…a3b9backed Tulane | 50c | 1,751$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…634bbacked Tulane | 50c | 1,701$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…f953backed Tulane | 50c | 1,671$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 1,569$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.98 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d341backed Tulane | 56c | 958$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…23d9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 901$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…3e38backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 901$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…bc3ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 871$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…5185backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…4b55backed Tulane | 56c | 812$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…a23cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…011fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…8124backed Tulane | 56c | 789$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…7691backed Tulane | 58c | 751$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Tulane | 55c | 710$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…991abacked Tulane | 56c | 587$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…0f70backed Tulane | 56c | 569$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 42c | 562.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7149backed Tulane | 56c | 533$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…e6c9backed Tulane | 56c | 527$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…8a51backed Tulane | 57c | 502$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…491bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 422$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…fa42backed UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 382$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…f1cebacked Tulane | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…195abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…dbd0backed Tulane | 57c | 302$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 273.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 256$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 246$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Tulane | 57c | 215.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Tulane | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Tulane | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Tulane | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Tulane | 57c | 34.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…5432backed Tulane | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulane (-3.5)this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Tulane (-4.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.