College Football · resolved market
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cfea7ea76b9ed2b4cdf9c4473f74d33f766e5f7bf85beeeb73ffde6e3289f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…e6c9backed Over | 50c | 6,801$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 6,486$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…4b2ebacked Over | 49c | 3,834$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,271$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.21 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…cdb5backed Under | 50c | 2,626$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 2,526$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d341backed Under | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ac8fbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…8124backed Under | 50c | 987$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…4b55backed Under | 50c | 875$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…7691backed Under | 50c | 857$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…25dfbacked Under | 51c | 856$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…163fbacked Under | 51c | 810$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7149backed Under | 50c | 789$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 51c | 785$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 771$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 695.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.42 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…e2f4backed Under | 51c | 652$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…991abacked Under | 50c | 534$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…0f70backed Under | 50c | 521$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 51c | 511.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…8f2bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…6b24backed Under | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…2d96backed Over | 50c | 458$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…4691backed Over | 50c | 455$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…ae2dbacked Over | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…e405backed Over | 50c | 427$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…446dbacked Under | 51c | 413$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…5cfdbacked Over | 50c | 377$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…f26fbacked Over | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…0769backed Under | 51c | 321$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…ed81backed Under | 51c | 312$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…fbcbbacked Over | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 54.5this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Tulane (-3.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-4.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 53.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.