College Football · resolved market
O/U 55.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865aa67a95238909e31288d4cd318f55250051b679531f111839a1517968701a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 54c | 2,178$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.86 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 1,976$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.43 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…011fbacked Over | 50c | 1,781$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…23d9backed Over | 50c | 1,771$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…a23cbacked Over | 50c | 1,751$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…a3b9backed Under | 50c | 901$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…bc3ebacked Under | 50c | 901$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…3e38backed Under | 50c | 901$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…f953backed Under | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…5185backed Under | 50c | 870$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…634bbacked Under | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 53c | 783$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 677$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.81 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 46c | 626.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 54c | 463.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 40c | 457$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…5432backed Over | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 55.5this page
- Spread: Tulane (-3.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-4.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Tulane (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.