Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47dc7b6f8175b4d44d948bcf9158a1408c1168a6f51457796bd1e000d39b0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garlandof Rodionova, Garland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Rodionova | 13c | 21,520$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.34 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Rodionova | 31c | 16,670$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Garland | 76c | 10,821$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Garland | 70c | 6,196$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.07 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Garland | 74c | 3,778$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.23 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rodionova | 14c | 2,495$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Garland | 78c | 1,972$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.07 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garland | 78c | 1,932$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.24 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Rodionova | 29c | 1,742$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Rodionova | 19c | 1,591$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Garland | 80c | 1,300$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Rodionova | 10c | 1,261$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Rodionova | 29c | 1,249$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed Rodionova | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Rodionova | 17c | 953.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…eaabbacked Rodionova | 12c | 812.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Rodionova | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Rodionova | 21c | 525.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Rodionova | 23c | 417.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Rodionova | 13c | 401$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Rodionova | 10c | 358.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Garland | 78c | 343.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Rodionova | 4c | 329.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Garland | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Rodionova | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Garland | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Rodionova | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Rodionova | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Rodionova | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Rodionova | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rodionova | 23c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…ad70backed Rodionova | 8c | 159$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Garland | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Garland | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…fbb3backed Rodionova | 30c | 121.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b93…303dbacked Rodionova | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Rodionova | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garland | 69c | 82.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Rodionova | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Garland | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Garland | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…cd40backed Rodionova | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Garland | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…e83dbacked Garland | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Garland | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Garland | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Rodionova | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Garland | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Garland | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Garland | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 732 | 57.4%420 W · 312 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Garland | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Garland | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…c567backed Garland | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.